After having typically appeared in the entirely venerable pages of Baseball Think Factory , Dan Szym

Major League Players Minor League arizona meetings hotel Players Homer Bailey 2007 - 2013 Felipe Lopez 2001 - 2011 Ubaldo Jimenez 2006 - 2013 Mike Trout 2011 - 2013 Derek Jeter 1995 - 2013 Jose Abreu 2014 - 2014 Brandon Belt 2011 - 2013 Ike Davis 2010 - 2013 Kendrys Morales 2006 - 2013 Prince Fielder 2005 - 2013 Oscar Taveras 6/19/1992 George Springer 9/19/1989 Noah Syndergaard 8/29/1992 Javier Baez 12/1/1992 Byron Buxton 12/18/1993 Miguel Sano 5/11/1993 Gregory Polanco 9/14/1991 Marcus Stroman 5/1/1991 Maikel Franco arizona meetings hotel 8/26/1992 Arismendy Alcantara 10/29/1991 List All Players by Letter
FanGraphs A Few Thoughts on the Orioles and their Window Homer Bailey and His Peers On the Recent Alterations to Jose Abreu's Steamer arizona meetings hotel Projection The Best Transactions arizona meetings hotel of the 2014 Off-Season RotoGraphs The Rays Outfield RotoGraphs Consensus Ranks: First Base NotGraphs More Bad Spring Training Pics Grant Balfour Puts Your Truck in the Bed of His Truck and Then Also Adds the Remainder of Your Universe Community Research 2014 Toronto Blue Jays FanGraphs+ A Look Back at Last Year's Extensions Contenders Without Enough Arms
AL East Red Sox 97 65 ---- Rays 92 71 5.5 Orioles 85 77 12.0 Yankees 85 77 12.0 Blue Jays 74 88 23.0 AL Central Tigers 93 69 ---- Indians 92 70 1.0 Royals 86 76 7.0 Twins 66 96 27.0 White Sox 63 99 30.0 AL West Athletics 96 66 ---- Rangers 91 72 5.5 Angels 78 84 18.0 Mariners 71 91 25.0 Astros 51 111 45.0 NL East Braves 96 66 ---- Nationals 86 76 10.0 Mets 74 88 22.0 Phillies 73 89 23.0 Marlins 62 100 34.0 NL Central Cardinals 97 65 ---- Pirates 94 68 3.0 Reds 90 72 7.0 Brewers 74 88 23.0 Cubs 66 96 31.0 NL West Dodgers 92 70 ---- D-backs arizona meetings hotel 81 81 11.0 Giants 76 86 16.0 Padres 76 86 16.0 Rockies 74 88 18.0
After having typically appeared in the entirely venerable pages of Baseball Think Factory arizona meetings hotel , Dan Szymborski s ZiPS projections were released at FanGraphs last year. The exercise continues this offseason. Below are the projections for the Chicago arizona meetings hotel Cubs. Szymborski can be found at ESPN and on Twitter at @DSzymborski .
Other Projections: Arizona / Atlanta / Baltimore / Boston / Chicago AL / Cincinnati / Cleveland / Colorado / Detroit / Kansas City / Los Angeles AL / Los Angeles NL / Miami / Milwaukee / Minnesota / New York AL / New York NL / Philadelphia / Pittsburgh / San Diego / Seattle / St. Louis / Tampa Bay / Toronto .
It s very possible that the depth-chart graphic below doesn t accurately represent how certain players will be deployed by manager Rick Renteria arizona meetings hotel in 2014. Because even maybe Rick Renteria doesn t know how he ll deploy those players, is mostly arizona meetings hotel why.
Of particular interest are the third-base and also center-/right-field positions. In the case of the former, Luis Valbuena appears to have received the most enthusiastic projection from ZiPS: 1.9 WAR in just 481 plate appearances. Pairing him with the right-handed-batting Donnie Murphy might bear some metaphorical fruit, according to the forecasts here. That said, the presence of both Mike Olt and Christian Villanueva two promising young players, either of whom could benefit from major-league plate appearances also complicates matters.
In the outfield, a combination of Justin Ruggiano , Nate Schierholtz , and Ryan Sweeney are all available for some combination of center and right field. Ruggiano s projection (1.7 WAR in 433 PA) is the most encouraging; however, any of three, regardless of handedness or platoon ability, might be superior to expected left-field starter Junior arizona meetings hotel Lake .
In his Letters to a Young Poet , Rainer Maria Rilke writes something to the effect of Rome is beautiful, because every place is beautiful. A wonderful sentiment, that, but also patently false as is demonstrated by the existence of Gresham, Oregon, for example.
Were he alive and also interested in baseball, arizona meetings hotel for some reason, Rilke might suggest that every starting rotation is beautiful. Again, he d be incorrect and one would be free to point to the Cubs rotation as evidence. It s not the worst one in the majors; however, speaking as one who has now appended text to 20-plus teams worth of projections, the author feels comfortable saying that it also isn t the most promising.
Much of the Cubs future success is tied, probably, arizona meetings hotel to the pretty impressive collection of young, field-playing talent currently extant within the organization. Both Arismendy Alcantara and Javier Baez , for example, are projected to produce wins at a slightly above-average major-league rate already and yet neither is likely to begin the season with the parent club. Matt Szczur and Logan Watkins arizona meetings hotel , while less celebrated as prospects, also currently profile as useful major-leaguers, if and when given the opportunity.
Below is a rough depth chart for the present incarnation of the Cubs, with rounded projected WAR totals for each player. For caveats regarding WAR values see disclaimer at bottom of post. Click to embiggen image.
Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance. Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2014. ZiPS is projecting equivalent arizona meetings hotel production a .240 ZiPS projection may end up being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting the future.
Players that are expected to be out due to injury are still projected. More information is always better than less information and a computer isn t what should be projecting the injury status of, for example, a pitcher with Tommy John surgery.
arizona meetings hotel Regarding ERA+ vs. ERA- (and FIP+ vs. FIP-) and the differences therein: as Patriot notes here , they are not simply mirror images of each other. Writes arizona meetings hotel Patriot: ERA+ does not tell you that a pitcher s ERA was X% less or more than the league s ERA. It tells you that the league s ERA was X% less or more than the pitcher s ERA.
Both hitters and pitchers are ranked by projected zWAR which is to say, WAR values as calculated by Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z . WAR values might differ slightly from those which appear in full release of ZiPS. Finally, Szymborski will advise anyone against and might karate chop anyone guilty of merely adding up WAR totals on depth chart to produce projected team WAR.
As I was looking that up, I came across this article arizona meetings hotel on Szczur from when he was in college. Good read. These are the kind of players you have no problem rooting for, no matter what team they are on. Just thought it was worth a share
Using my simulator with 2014 player projections, this is the lineup that the simulator had winning the most games vs both RH/LH pitchers along with the lineup that MLBDepthCharts thought the team was most likely to use.
I agree and there are several really bad Cubs teams from which to choose. This is basically the post trade deadline version arizona meetings hotel of a team that lost 96 games. Actually find the projections of 3b and cf optimistic.
Mike Olt was a can t touch, top-25 prospect in baseball before he was beaned in the head and experienced severe vision problems. The Cubs finally figured out over the last six months that his issues arizona meetings hotel were allergy related and he should be back to where he was pre-beaning. He ll hopefully be the Cubs starting third baseman on Opening arizona meetings hotel Day and force the Cubs to move Bryant to the outfield.
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